This article, “Excellent News from the Horn of Africa: Somaliland,” discusses the potential recognition of Somaliland by the United States under a hypothetical second Trump administration in 2025. It highlights the contrasting trajectories of Somaliland and Somalia since the collapse of their union in 1991.
Here’s a breakdown:
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Somaliland’s Independence: Somaliland, formerly British Somaliland, restored independence from Somalia in 1991 after a period of conflict and the collapse of the Siad Barre regime. However, no country has officially recognized its independence.
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Somaliland’s Progress: Despite lacking international recognition and facing economic hardship, Somaliland has established a relatively peaceful and democratic society with free elections, a civil society, and economic ties through remittances and trade.
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Somalia’s Challenges: In contrast, Somalia has been plagued by civil war, piracy, terrorism (Al-Shabaab), and instability, becoming reliant on foreign aid and Turkish influence.
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Potential US Recognition: The article suggests that a bill in the US House of Representatives aims to recognize Somaliland, possibly contingent on establishing relations with Israel through the Abraham Accords. The author, David Anderson, argues that US recognition would be beneficial for Somaliland’s development and international standing.
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Pro-Western Alignment: The author advocates for Somaliland to align itself with Western powers like the US, Taiwan, and Israel, contrasting this with Somalia’s perceived alignment with “Third Worldism” and negative influences.
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Overall Argument: The author portrays Somaliland as a success story deserving of international recognition and support due to its progress towards stability and democracy, while contrasting it with the failures and challenges of Somalia. The article suggests that Somaliland’s potential alignment with the West, particularly the US and Israel, would lead to prosperity and stability.
The complete piece is as follows:
Excellent News from the Horn of Africa: Somaliland
By David Anderson
There are rumors about in the diplomatic sphere, on twitter/X and in the Somaliland capital of Hargeisa, that the Trump administration might just be about to recognize Somaliland.
A short Horn of Africa primer: Prior to independence in 1960 there were basically two Somalias: the Somalia we know now (Italian) and British Somaliland (now.. “Somaliland”). They united at independence. After 30 years of hard times and a monstrous Siad Barre dictatorship, the whole country fell apart into anarchy in 1991. Not before the Barre regime bombed the daylights out of restive Somaliland. The latter have a crashed Somali MiG up on a podium in downtown Hargeisa: quite the troll. The area is a totally Islamic, clan based society and in a very poor part of the world.
Then something interesting happened. When it all fell apart what was (British) Somaliland in the north went its own way, declaring independence.
Nobody recognized this independence, so their path was as rocky as their hauntingly beautiful landscapes.
They couldn’t and still can’t get loans, foreign aid, insurance, air links or issue sovereign debt for the longest time and were just “out there”: dry, hot, alone and mainly forgotten.
And pretty… peaceful. They made elections – quite free elections especially for the neighborhood, and made a little money from remittances and selling camel meat to the Saudis. They issued (a little recognized) passports, started a civil society and became something truly inspiring in a neighborhood of considerable sadness. With almost no help, aid or UN meddling.
Meanwhile “Original Somalia” fell into ruin, civil war, marine piracy and “Black Hawk Down” anarchy. They spat with traditional enemy Ethiopia and exported Islamic terror to neighboring Kenya. There was a LOT of aid, worldwide recognition and they became very much a Turkish reliant state. Turkey has become BIG in the Third World in recent decades, its long Ottoman fingers molesting various vulnerable places.
So things went, on different courses, that way for decades. There was a glimmer of hope a few years ago when Taiwan, a country familiar with being “out in the cold” started playing diplomatic footsie with Somaliland links and even embassies, of a type, were established.
Now there is a bill in the US House to officially recognize Somaliland with all the cool stuff that involves. This recognition will probably come with the condition they make nice with Israel and join the Abraham Peace Accords. It’ll be worth their while. US recognition would help Somaliland become a “real” country.
Peace with Israel, while one’s Muslim friends may frown, has been an economic and diplomatic boon for the UAE, Morocco and Bahrain.
The whole story is an object lesson in the advantages of friendship with the West, the USA and Israel. Always bet on the winning horse. Always align with, contract with and embrace international winners: Taiwan, the US, Israel and the like.
Meanwhile, “Original” Somalia may keep its Third Worldism, its Jihadi madness, “Al Shabaab” terroristic chaos, and of course that reliable imprinteur of ruinous failure: “Palestine”.
With a bit of luck and American will, Somaliland may leave that all behind.
And they will prosper.
About the Author
David Anderson is an Australian-American lawyer in NYC with post-graduate level education in Middle East politics and psychology and a career background in finance and law. He studied Arabic to an insufficient but passable level and has travelled extensively in the Islamosphere. He is a barely restrained maniac on X: @DavidandersonJd
Flag image: Government of Somaliland – Government of Somaliland National Symbols, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=486578
